1. Identificação | |
Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article) |
Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br |
Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/4365F5S |
Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/08.28.12.58 (acesso restrito) |
Última Atualização | 2020:08.28.12.58.58 (UTC) simone |
Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/08.28.12.58.58 |
Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2022:01.04.01.35.19 (UTC) administrator |
DOI | 10.2196/21413 |
ISSN | 1439-4456 |
Chave de Citação | SilvaASTGCSVCCF:2020:AnDaGo |
Título | COVID-19 mortality underreporting in Brazil: analysis of data from government internet portals |
Ano | 2020 |
Mês | Aug. |
Data de Acesso | 08 maio 2024 |
Tipo de Trabalho | journal article |
Tipo Secundário | PRE PI |
Número de Arquivos | 1 |
Tamanho | 591 KiB |
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2. Contextualização | |
Autor | 1 Silva, Lena Veiga e 2 Abi Harb, Maria da Penha de Andrade 3 Santos, Aurea Milene Teixeira Barbosa dos 4 Teixeira, Carlos André de Mattos 5 Gomes, Vitor Hugo Macedo 6 Cardoso, Evelin Helena Silva 7 Silva, Marcelino S. da 8 Vijaykumar, Nandamudi Lankalapalli 9 Carvalho, Solon Venâncio de 10 Carvalho, André Ponce de Leon Ferreira de 11 Frances, Carlos Renato Lisboa |
Identificador de Curriculo | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHTU 9 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ99 |
ORCID | 1 0000-0001-6286-2130 2 0000-0002-1873-143X 3 0000-0002-8992-3412 4 0000-0003-1902-4347 5 0000-0002-0530-3225 6 0000-0001-6569-4638 7 0000-0001-7504-7434 8 0000-0002-9025-0841 9 0000-0001-6319-2511 10 0000-0002-4765-6459 11 0000-0003-0305-7662 |
Grupo | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 LABAC-COCTE-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 9 LABAC-COCTE-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR |
Afiliação | 1 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 2 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 3 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 4 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 5 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 6 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 7 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 10 Universidade de São Paulo (USP) 11 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) |
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 lenaveiga@gmail.com 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 nl.vijay@inpe.br 9 solon.carvalho@inpe.br |
Revista | Journal of Medical Internet Research |
Volume | 22 |
Número | 8 |
Páginas | e21413 |
Histórico (UTC) | 2020-08-28 13:01:19 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020 2022-01-04 01:35:19 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 |
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3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
Transferível | 1 |
Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution |
Tipo de Versão | publisher |
Palavras-Chave | Brazil COVID-19 mortality underreporting respiratory system diseases public health pandemic time series forecasting |
Resumo | BACKGROUND: In Brazil, a substantial number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases and deaths have been reported. It has become the second most affected country worldwide, as of June 9, 2020. Official Brazilian government sources present contradictory data on the impact of the disease; thus, it is possible that the actual number of infected individuals and deaths in Brazil is far larger than those officially reported. It is very likely that the actual spread of the disease has been underestimated. OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the underreporting of cases and deaths related to COVID-19 in the most affected cities in Brazil, based on public data available from official Brazilian government internet portals, to identify the actual impact of the pandemic. METHODS: We used data from historical deaths due to respiratory problems and other natural causes from two public portals: DATASUS (Department of Informatics of the Unified Healthcare System) (2010-2018) and the Brazilian Transparency Portal of Civil Registry (2019-2020). These data were used to build time-series models (modular regressions) to predict the expected mortality patterns for 2020. The forecasts were used to estimate the possible number of deaths that were incorrectly registered during the pandemic and posted on government internet portals in the most affected cities in the country. RESULTS: Our model found a significant difference between the real and expected values. The number of deaths due to severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) was considerably higher in all cities, with increases between 493% and 5820%. This sudden increase may be associated with errors in reporting. An average underreporting of 40.68% (range 25.9%-62.7%) is estimated for COVID-19-related deaths. CONCLUSIONS: The significant rates of underreporting of deaths analyzed in our study demonstrate that officially released numbers are much lower than actual numbers, making it impossible for the authorities to implement a more effective pandemic response. Based on analyses carried out using different fatality rates, it can be inferred that Brazil's epidemic is worsening, and the actual number of infectees could already be between 1 to 5.4 million. |
Área | COMP |
Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > LABAC > COVID-19 mortality underreporting... |
Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | |
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4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
Idioma | en |
Arquivo Alvo | silva_covid.pdf |
Grupo de Usuários | simone |
Grupo de Leitores | administrator simone |
Visibilidade | shown |
Permissão de Leitura | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
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5. Fontes relacionadas | |
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ESGTTP |
Lista de Itens Citando | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.15.00.34 1 |
Divulgação | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCOPUS. |
Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 |
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6. Notas | |
Campos Vazios | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url |
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7. Controle da descrição | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
atualizar | |
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